The world economic forum (WEF) will be held from 23 on 26 January in the Swiss city of Davos. On the forum of the heads of major corporations and the leaders of major countries will discuss the economic situation in the world, will share their experience, know-how and suggestions for solving current and future problems of mankind.Among published on the website WEF documents are the global risks Report, which you can see the results of the surveys for the study of the basic problems. Participation in the research took nearly 1 thousand of experts and authorized persons, estimating the probability and the impact of the 30 largest risks in the next 10 years. Among the disclosed information can be to allocate experts selected the ten most serious problems of the future:
Internet share on the sector
Hackers often flashed in the news: they demand a ransom for the data, sabotaging the work of hospitals and government, but Pro-Russian cybercriminals even suspect of meddling in American elections.A growing number of digital vulnerability brings to the agenda the search systems and methods of security. China has solved the problem of cybersecurity, encircling its virtual space from the outside world. «Golden shield«or «Great Chinese firewall» filters the site according to key words in the precautions, and a multitude of services including YouTube, Twitter, Instagram and Flickr on the territory of the Republic blocked. In the presence of the same protective systems in each country, humanity awaits the isolation of individual regions of the world wide web.In fact, it can lead to very negative consequences. World organizations would be much more difficult to track and respond to cases of human rights violations, and boundary information field is significantly narrowed.In the future, the fragmentation of the Internet may result in the strengthening of authoritarian regimes and the end of the era of mass media and freedom of speech.
A virtual cold war
The ability of cyber weapons enable countries with a higher level of technology and significant intellectual capital to sabotage the work of government agencies of other States.The lack of clear agreements and verified methods of regulating the Internet could lead to a race of cyber weapons and the disruption of infrastructures around the world.Virtual attacks on industrial facilities, military bases and health care facilities can cause damage and spread panic among the civilian population.
The collision of the state and culture
Clashes on racial, ethnic, cultural or religious grounds, happens all the time. In 2017 year was especially a lot of occasions to raise this issue in Davos. The referendum of Catalonia, the ongoing military conflict in the East of Ukraine, clashes between Kurds and the government of Turkey, the problems associated with the growth of immigration in European countries. The list is quite long and if desired, it is easy to Supplement.Conflicts on ethnic or other differences only exacerbated through the use of military force the warring parties. Without a clear system of methods for the peaceful settlement of ethnic and religious character of the world community a chance to observe the cascade of protests and attempts of individual groups and communities to secede from States.
The gap between superior and ordinary people
Modern medicine theoretically allows you to «improve» the human body. Cyborgs from the movies by the standards of science – it’s more people using drugs to improve cognitive abilities, and you’re not Robocop.The main problem in the future may become the price and availability of such medicines. If you become «better» can only be elected, the consequences will lead to protests of the crowd unhappy around the world.Like a dystopia, but the exponential speed of scientific «leap» from the use of such drugs has the potential to divide humanity in two.
Economic collapse
The financial crisis of 2007-2008 year, the European debt crisis of 2010 show how globalized the financial system. Economies are interconnected, and the fall of giants entails a Domino effect: countries go bankrupt one at a time until it is complete chaos.In the future, this effect will surely be able to overcome. What if the first crisis will be followed by another, and then their frequency will increase until the financial system finally burst?The reason for this development may be one of the main global threats to 2018 – cyber attacks. In such circumstances, a reasonable regulation of the cyberspace is the only way to stabilize the situation.
The crisis automation of fishing
The market could stir up not only the fall of bitcoin or attack banking institutions. The technology of artificial intelligence (AI), getting it into the wrong hands, can change the history of mankind in a very negative way.The first thing that comes to mind is the movie «the Matrix» or the movie «Terminator» with Arnold Schwarzenegger in the lead role, though in this case it is not about the evil robots.Today about one third of all fish caught by poachers. Relevant fishing companies are finding it difficult to deal with such competitors. Using AI and drones, illegal fishing can be automated. Ships will float and self-assemble fish, and after filling the cargo compartments to bring it back.So such technologies will increase catchthat honestly produced seafood will disappear from the market, and the natural processes in nature will be violated. The breach of the ecosystem due to uncontrolled fishing will lead to the extinction of many species and algae, and piled seafood markets will reduce the price of seafood.For regions that depend on fishing, this development will bring the loss of jobs and traditional way of life.
The end of good old democracy
The ancient Greeks had no idea of nuclear weapons, economic bubbles, cybercriminal organizations, the threat of global warming, and satellite espionage.But in Greece was born democracy in the form in which we are accustomed to talk about it. Thousands of years have passed since then, and I think the system gives crack. Exactly describes the situation on the world political arena in the report on global issues.Moreover, attempts to maintain the usual mode safe with weapons definitely will not lead to anything but conflict, violence and death that dictates how the logic and statement of the problem the experts from the forum.
Trade war
Trade agreements concluded for finding compromise at the conclusion of contracts through arbitral judgements and other regulatory mechanisms.However, the world trade organization (WTO) has often been attacked for bias. Criticism often comes from anti-globalization activists, who complain that the organization follows the interests of rich countries and corporations.So, in 2017 year, it became clear that not everyone is happy with the arbitration and interference in the rules of trade with their partner countries: for example, the US broke off Pacific partnership, has announced its intention to leave the North American free trade area and desperately criticized HERE.This trend, if will be picked up by all leading countries, will lead to a slowdown in economic processes, the deterioration of relations between the two countries, increase unemployment and degradation of living standards.
AI will slow down the Internet
While everyone thinks that artificial intelligence will take over the factories, start producing military robots and enslave the humanity, the real threat has already infiltrated the Internet.Low-level algorithms, which are already quite in the network, gradually slow down the world wide web.The slow Network will cause problems when you conduct transactions, purchase goods online and destabilization of normal life.The development and proliferation of these algorithms, no one really watches. In theory, modifying and improving such «inferior» artificial intelligences, mankind is creating the problem, that it’s time to pay now.
A global shortage of food
Even if to be optimistic, it’s hard not to believe in global warming. Or the ozone holethat, in General, interrelated.A changing climate will change the conditions for growing agricultural products, and if projections are correct, the Terrans will be seriously affected. The amount of food will decrease drastically.The result will be political and economic crises. The shortage will raise the price of food and make it unavailable for many. The consequences of this development will be truly disruptive and will lead to countless victims.Even the most optimistic forecast of changes in the climate involves the problems associated with the cultivation of fodder crops and, as a consequence, the shortage of food.
