Most Americans will refuse a personal vehicle by 2030

According to forecasts, by 2030 the US population will abandon personal vehicles in favor of the services of car rental. Garages are empty with the advent of «driverless cars» and «cars for General use». Are Uber and Lyft, using which you can quickly find a taxi driver. Services has been successfully operating for several years — that is, a constant demand. Does this mean that the days when to own a car was prestigious and fashionable, come to an end?


Personal transportation is certainly important for each of us. According to statistics, 92% living in the United States have at least one car per family. People aged 35 to 50 years used to take the car the obligatory attribute of everyday life. What makes to think so?

One would assume that the main reason is independence, which gives the ownership of personal transport and comfort of movement. No need to adjust the life under the schedule of public transport, spend time and nerves on waiting for the bus. Personal car is the ability to get anywhere in the city, sitting in the comfort of the salon and listening to the music of your favorite radio station or audiobook.

However, most often the reason why people are so eager at any cost to get their car, lies in a completely different plane. The main motivators are recognition, public opinion and status. From childhood we are accustomed to thinking that a successful man can not ride the bus, so buying a car, feel a little happier and more important.

Indeed, in 2018, the majority of American households have personal transportation, and 85% of Americans regularly get to work on your car. However, it was not always so, and therefore can not last forever. 70 years ago, before the Second world war, most Americans lived, not owning a car. People traveling on buses, trolleybuses and trains. In the early 1950s, a building boom happened. One after another like mushrooms after a rain appeared to be houses built from materials of average quality, and were combined into new neighborhoods and suburbs. In 1956, construction began on the National highway system, and for the next 50 years was built 75,44 km of highways across America. People were able to afford to live in cheaper cities or boroughs, getting to work on the car. As a result, today only 5% of Americans use public transportation every day. However, the situation changed.

It’s been 60 years since then, when the US government began to implement policies that influenced the way we live and travel today. Naturally, in 2018, it became clear that such policies are not good for all. The existing road system is not suitable for large cities such as new York, which, incidentally, the highest percentage of people without personal transport (29.2% vs. 7.6 percent nationwide). Moreover, the United States, like other developed countries, more attention is paid to issues of finding alternative fuel sources and development of environmentally friendly vehicles. The argument in favour of the environment has little effect on people’s desire to have a personal car, but completely different valid argument of economic feasibility. Young people, older and low-income people also need to move around the city quickly and comfortably.

Waiver of personal transport

When it became clear tendency of the refusal of the inhabitants of the US use of a personal vehicle? The first signs were visible in the early twenty-first century. With the advent of the 2000s, the ratio of possession of personal transport in the USA (the ratio of the number of cars in private ownership, to the number of licenses issued for driving) reached record-low numbers — 1,1 (2001). Starting in 2008, began to fall indicators thesunnah on the United States distances per year (compared to 2007 year — on-year to 3.78%). And at the same time, the number of trips by public transport is almost back to a 1950-ies.

Obviously need to make allowances for the 2008 crisis, in which many US residents simply have no resources, but now these trends are still relevant. Further many people move to live in major cities where private transport has not more than 50% of the population.

Since 2008, in the US there are new transport services, the most popular of them — «car-sharing» and «public use vehicle». Private companies owning such machines offer residents of large cities their rent for the hour or day, as desired. If you are a customer of these companies, you will easily find one of the cars of the service on the car parks in the city. The number of companies and their fleets are growing yearly, because this service is very popular. And it’s not even in ecology, and in the banal benefit. How it’s cheaper than to have your own car? Look — when renting a car do not need to pay insurance, Parking, repairs. You simply choose the appropriate transport (small town or family for weekend trips), and after the trip, return it to the company.

Only in new York more than 100 thousand people use the services of companies, car-sharing, and it is sufficient to only 2000 cars. Each machine public use supersedes 10-20 private cars, serving 40 to 50 people. The mutual use of transport helps to reduce emissions of harmful substances into the air and the required number of Parking spaces.